Blog posts


99 ways to not go about Bayesian Forecasting

8 minute read


Long time no see huh? it’s been a long, quiet and eventful summer so far. In the first week of July, I started working on expanding time series modelling capabilities in PyMC3. I find myself at a loss of coherent statements to stitch together the last five weeks or so. Anyhow, let’s start, I spent the first two weeks reading about how other people implemented ARMA / ARIMA / SARIMA / SARIMAX. It was overwhelming and mostly resulted in me exacerbating my own impostor syndrome :P

Summer, Stats and sleep(I wish)

6 minute read


Summer’21 was probably the most challenging summer my nineteen-year-old self has faced. I will not go on about I have become stronger now, eh well, I could say I have become more of myself. Staying in your room for 14 months, living with yourself every day does that to a person. I am not complaining. I have been more privileged than most people; nothing “major” happened to me personally, except maybe utter chaos. Anyway, this post is not a sob story, although I feel like I could not talk about this summer without first addressing the elephant in the room - we collectively experienced a pandemic, and we are all exhausted. Now that we have said that, the summer was not all that bad. I will tell you-